【志忠论经济】蔡志忠：撤辣是迟来的春天 预期楼市量升价稳
发布日期：2024-02-28
阅读量：10851
蔡志忠-香港专业地产顾问商会会长
社会各界对港府全面撤销楼市辣招的呼声高唱入云，政府终于改变初衷，将实施近14年的楼市辣招全面撤销，这是非常大的进步，对疲弱的楼市起了积极提振作用。
过去几年，香港经济环境严峻，楼市受冲击重创，到今天才撤辣已经比较迟了，但仍然是好事，相信受到市场欢迎。笔者认为，全面撤辣只是稳定一下楼市，缓和楼价下跌的速度，楼市仍然受新楼大量供应以及息囗高企的影响，短期内住宅成交量会增加，不过由于地产商去年出货缓慢，囤积了大量库存，估计有近3万个新楼待售，发展商会争先恐后推盘，而且仍然需要减价促销，准买家无须过急入市。
正如内地楼市一样，即使有政策大力扶持，重创的楼市还是需要一段长时间才能复原。基于国际外围环境复杂，多个负面因素没有太大改变，预期今年香港楼价仍有5%至8%下调空间。笔者并非担心楼价下跌，我更关注的是各项领域的交投量（包括楼股）能够正常运作发挥，才不会窒碍经济发展，期望港府作出更多推动经济措施，例如大幅加大内地自由行城市数目，引进更多著名企业及资金，以及商业借贷方面进一步放松，帮助中小企业渡过难关等等，籍此重振香港国际金融中心声誉。
专栏：地产
作者：
蔡志忠
来源：
地产
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